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Conservative neural posterior estimation via distributionally robust training
Simulation-based inference with neural posterior estimation (NPE) often yields overconfident and unreliable posteriors under limited …
William Laplante
,
Yuga Hikida
,
Harita Dellaporta
,
François-Xavier Briol
,
Ayush Bharti
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Code
arXiv
Multi-Output Robust and Conjugate Gaussian Processes
Multi-output Gaussian process (MOGP) regression allows modelling dependencies among multiple correlated response variables. Similarly …
Joshua Rooijakkers
,
Leiv Rønneberg
,
François-Xavier Briol
,
Jeremias Knoblauch
,
Matias Altamirano
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Code
arXiv
Concept frustration: Aligning human concepts and machine representations
Aligning human-interpretable concepts with the internal representations learned by modern machine learning systems remains a central …
Enrico Parisini
,
Christopher J. Soelistyo
,
Ahab Isaac
,
Alessandro Barp
,
Christopher R.S. Banerji
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Code
arXiv
Robust Bayesian Optimisation with Unbounded Corruptions
Bayesian Optimization is critically vulnerable to extreme outliers. Existing provably robust methods typically assume a bounded …
Abdelhamid Ezzerg
,
Ilija Bogunovic
,
Jeremias Knoblauch
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Code
arXiv
Thinned Mean Field Langevin Dynamics
Several important learning tasks can be formulated as minimizing an entropy-regularized objective over an appropriate space of …
Zonghao Chen
,
Heishiro Kanagawa
,
François-Xavier Briol
,
Chris J. Oates
,
Lester Mackey
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Code
arXiv
TabMGP: Martingale posterior with TabPFN
Bayesian inference provides principled uncertainty quantification but is often limited by challenges of prior and likelihood …
Kenyon Ng
,
Edwin Fong
,
David T. Frazier
,
Jeremias Knoblauch
,
Susan Wei
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arXiv
Multilevel neural simulation-based inference
Neural simulation-based inference (SBI) is a popular set of methods for Bayesian inference when models are only available in the form …
Yuga Hikida
,
Ayush Bharti
,
Niall Jeffrey
,
François-Xavier Briol
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Code
arXiv
Stationary MMD Points
Approximation of a target probability distribution using a finite set of points is a problem of fundamental importance in numerical …
Zonghao Chen
,
Toni Karvonen
,
Heishiro Kanagawa,
,
François-Xavier Briol
,
Chris. J. Oates
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Code
arXiv
Kernel Quantile Embeddings and Associated Probability Metrics
Embedding probability distributions into reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces (RKHS) has enabled powerful nonparametric methods such as …
Masha Naslidnyk
,
Siu Lun Chau
,
François-Xavier Briol
,
Krikamol Muandet
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Code
arXiv
Prediction-Centric Uncertainty Quantification via MMD
Deterministic mathematical models, such as those specified via differential equations, are a powerful tool to communicate scientific …
Zheyang Shen
,
Jeremias Knoblauch
,
Sam Power
,
Chris. J. Oates
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Code
arXiv
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